Ratings are overrated

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Ratings and ranking systems are a part of almost every industry these days. From finance and media to sport and music, people lap these things up.

I can’t stand them myself. In my humble opinion they make people behave all weird. Like moths attracted to a burning hot light bulb. They know it might end in 3rd degree burns, but they just can’t help themselves.

On the one hand ratings make a lot of sense. Rating things attempts to show what’s good and what’s bad and what’s popular and what’s not. This allows people and companies to make more informed decisions. The problem is they are easily manipulated and arguably driven by rather shady motivations.

Whether it’s buying the latest single, making a bet, an investment or spending marketing budget, various forms of ratings heavily influence what people do.

You only have to look at the financial crisis to highlight how pointless they are.

Millions of dodgy sub-prime mortgages were given goodratings by official organisations just to keep the money rolling in. This Time quote pretty much sums things up:

“But ratings also became a stamp of actuarial approval that often let investors and regulators skimp on their own due diligence”

Now I’m know financial whizz, I work in advertising, but how does USA have a perfect credit rating despite being one of the most in-debt countries in the world, coming a whisker away from defaulting?

Media buying around TV ratings is another example of how reality is distorted. Brands spend billions buying up the ad breaks of the highest rating shows. Now I’m not against TV advertising I just think it’s way over priced for its impact.

TV has never been a better medium for advertising the media agencies and networks will tell you. Ratings are up, and more and more people are watching TV (this is true). As a result one 30 second spot in The Voice will cost you $100K to ‘reach’ approximately 2m Australian.

Why do companies do it? It’s supposedly the quickest and easiest way to reach a lot of people with your gospel. Again this is fundamentally flawed.

It’s projected. It assumes that people are actually watching the ad. You only pay for the actual TARPs/GRPs I hear you say. Have you ever met anyone that actually has one of those mythical little boxes that records the sound of the show to check you have watched the ads – of course not, but that’s beside the point. And just because it’s recorded the sound it still does not mean I have watched the ad break let alone remembered it.

Marketers aren’t very good a observing their own behaviour. The front room is full of distractions. I could have checked my emails, sent a tweet, checked my Facebook account, played Angry Birds or God forbid spoke to my Wife, made a cup of tea or had a number two.

Media agencies are even peddling this point of view about time-shifted viewing not really affecting the situation; they are just watching more TV. Who does not fast forward ads on shows you have recorded? In fact there are so many ads on some shows I have to record it because it’s impossible to watch it at the set time.

Again not to say TV isn’t a good medium, just don’t always follow the high rating shows. There is a better way. The problem is that people don’t get sacked for creating TV ads to plonk in the highest rating shows. It’s not their fault if it doesn’t work, it must be the creative, and after all media buying and TV ratings is all scientific like. Well it’s not, it’s designed to keep people in Jags and I’m amazed how the industry just takes it.

Ratings completely mislead industries and make organisations take its eyes of the bigger problem and ultimately the prize. Australian networks are more interested in driving prime time ratings on one or two shows to sell ads than creating content people want to watch.

Brands and agencies spend way too much time and money trying to fill these breaks rather actually making stuff people want.

Ratings give people an overinflated confidence and should only be used as I guide. You need to ask the tough questions even if you can’t measure stuff 100%. Take them on face value and you will get fixated on the wrong goal.

Watching people watching TV

I’d love to see cameras on ratings boxes so we know what actually happens in an ad break. So this kind of cool.An Australian family sitting down to watch the Ariel Ping Pong Grand Final, the biggest sporting event of the year.

How TV ruined your life?

The ever brilliant Charlie Brooker has recently been exploring what we all know – there is in fact a massive gap bewteen what happens on TV and real life. In ‘How TV ruined your life?’ Brooker deadpans his way through iconic programming to some of the most cringing advertising ever created. Here’s my favourite episode by far.

The Future of TV from Razorfish

I don’t really see analog and digital as being this TV verus the Internet thing. But more related to how different people (mainly generations) think abouth stuff. There so much opportunity in TV that’s it’s only a matter of time before it starts to look more and more like the Internet.

This is great Razorfish presentation from SXSW Festival that essentially shows what TV is probably going to look like once the digital people get more and more involved. It was presented at Cannes last year but in this version Razorfish seem to have actually flushed out how the potential interface might look under various scenarios. (Start from about slide 12)

Tenuous Olympic Links

Despite bucket loads of marketing cash having been spent during the games, I still found myself getting quite bored of brands creating some very tenuous links to their products. But now the torch is on its merry way to London, it’s time for the fallout and the usual debate regarding whether or not brands should a) jump on the Games bandwagon or b) spend money actually becoming an official partner.

Over the last few weeks, it felt like every brand in the world was bombarding me with Games related campaigns. A couple of my favourites were Holden, who had Aussie athletes warming up and stretching on the bonnets of its latest range of vehicles. Then there was Lenovo who found the connection between a top swimmer, their coach, and a splash proof feature on a laptop. But the Gold medal has to go to Visa for this spot which features Derek Redmond and his Dad. It’s a nice message but the never say die spirit has little to do with a credit card. I also love the fact that they are actually proud of making it impossible for people at the Games to use anything other than a Visa card.

 
Then there is the stomach churning stuff coming from Coles. I am probably being cynical and English but there is only so much top and tailing of a commercial break one man can take. I honestly think I have seen this 100 times in the last couple of week. Every time I see it I believe/feel it less and less.

And just to prove my point according to this must read report, ‘The Commercial Games – How Commercialism is overrunning the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games’ there is an official dumpling partner to the games. What were your favourites from the Olympic Games

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